{"id":5295,"date":"2023-08-03T09:41:29","date_gmt":"2023-08-02T23:41:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/financialplus.com.au\/?p=5295"},"modified":"2023-08-03T09:42:56","modified_gmt":"2023-08-02T23:42:56","slug":"has-the-tide-turned-what-the-rba-rate-pause-means-for-homeowners","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/financialplus.com.au\/has-the-tide-turned-what-the-rba-rate-pause-means-for-homeowners\/","title":{"rendered":"Has the tide turned? What the RBA rate pause means for homeowners"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\"Mortgage holders rejoice \u2013 the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) kept the cash rate on hold in August for the second month in a row. So have we finally reached calmer waters? Or is there one last rate rise wave headed our way?\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

In what many will see as better news than a Matildas\u2019 World Cup win, the\u00a0RBA held interest rates steady<\/a>\u00a0in August for the second month in a row.<\/p>\n

After a relentless string of rate hikes (12 since April 2022), homeowners may be sceptical about what\u2019s happening.<\/p>\n

So is the RBA board finally satisfied we\u2019ve endured enough rate hikes? Or is RBA Governor Philip Lowe saving one last rate hike for mortgage holders as a parting gift before he vacates his position next month?<\/p>\n

Let\u2019s take a closer look at some of the underlying data.<\/p>\n

Inflation pressures are easing<\/h3>\n

The RBA has made it clear that it has been hiking rates to help lower inflation.<\/p>\n

So it was welcome news this week when the Australian Bureau of Statistics announced that\u00a0annual inflation has dropped to 6.0%<\/a>.<\/p>\n

It\u2019s fair to say most of us wouldn\u2019t normally celebrate goods and services prices rising 6% over the past year.<\/p>\n

However, it\u2019s a sign that inflation is still falling from its peak of 7.8%, and that\u2019s exactly what the RBA has been aiming for.<\/p>\n

Why the rate pause?<\/h3>\n

The RBA knows it\u2019s treading a fine line with interest rate decisions. At its August board meeting the central bank explained why it kept interest rates in a holding pattern:<\/p>\n

\u2013 It can take time for the economy to respond to previous rate hikes.<\/p>\n

\u2013 The outlook for household spending is uncertain. Many households are experiencing a squeeze on their finances. Others are benefiting from rising housing prices and higher interest income.<\/p>\n

\u2013 Consumer spending has slowed \u201csubstantially\u201d due to cost-of-living pressures and higher interest rates.<\/p>\n

The tide might be turning, but is one last rate rise wave coming?<\/h3>\n

Inflation is down. Rates are steady.<\/p>\n

So far, so good.<\/p>\n

But we may not be in calmer waters just yet.<\/p>\n

As this\u00a0diagram shows<\/a>, inflation is still well above the RBA\u2019s target range of 2-3%.<\/p>\n

So the RBA has left the door open for further rate hikes depending on how the economy is tracking, and of course, what happens with inflation.<\/p>\n

Indeed, the RBA said as much in its latest rate announcement: \u201cSome further tightening of monetary policy may be required to ensure that inflation returns to target in a reasonable timeframe\u201d.<\/p>\n

So \u2026 what\u2019s the rate outlook?<\/h3>\n

As mentioned earlier, RBA Governor Philip Lowe will vacate the top job on September 17 and be replaced by his deputy, Michele Bullock.<\/p>\n

Thus, one might think that if any more rate rises were planned in the short term, they\u2019d take place before that transition occurs to help give Ms Bullock a clean slate to work from (assuming inflation data continues on a downward trend). And there\u2019s only one RBA board meeting between then and now \u2013 on September 5.<\/p>\n

Indeed,\u00a0Westpac has made a bold call<\/a>, saying we could be heading into a lengthy period of stable rates ahead of a rate cut, possibly in the second half of 2024.<\/p>\n

So, with any luck, we could be through the thick of it.<\/p>\n

Then again, all things considered, interest rates are now much higher than they were 18 months ago and will likely remain so for some time.<\/p>\n

So if it\u2019s been a while since you last looked at your home loan and current interest rate, call us today to make sure you\u2019re paying a competitive rate on a loan that\u2019s well-suited to your needs.<\/p>\n

Disclaimer:<\/strong>\u00a0The content of this article is general in nature and is presented for informative purposes. It is not intended to constitute tax or financial advice, whether general or personal nor is it intended to imply any recommendation or opinion about a financial product. It does not take into consideration your personal situation and may not be relevant to circumstances. Before taking any action, consider your own particular circumstances and seek professional advice. This content is protected by copyright laws and various other intellectual property laws. It is not to be modified, reproduced or republished without prior written consent.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Mortgage holders rejoice \u2013 the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) kept the cash rate on hold in August for the second month in a row. So have we finally reached calmer waters? Or is there one last rate rise wave headed our way?\u00a0 In what many will see as better news than a Matildas\u2019 World […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":23,"featured_media":5296,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[110],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-5295","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-home-loans","8":"entry"},"yoast_head":"\nHas the tide turned? 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